How To Predict Square Enix’s Stock Price

square-enix-stock-vs-ff14-populations.png

Square Enix watchers have discovered a correlation between Square Enix’s plummeting stock price (almost at a 10 year low) and the player population of Final Fantasy XIV, also plummeting.

Unfortunately for investors looking to make a killing, predicting player numbers is scarcely any easier than predicting a company’s stock price, save in that Final Fantasy XIV’s case the numbers only look set to decrease further.


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    Avatar of ☆ БОSS ☆
    Comment by ☆ БОSS ☆
    05:18 09/11/2010 # ! Quality (+0.9)

    JUMP SHIP
    JUMP SHIP
    THIS BITCH IS GOING DOWN!

    Avatar of Darkrockslizer
    Comment by Darkrockslizer
    05:31 09/11/2010 # ! Quality (+0.8)

    Well if I had shorted them that would have been when FFXIV came out; after this becomes old news it will rise again a bit because an increased amount of people will be inclined to buy their stock for long term again.

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    06:16 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Depends if this debacle is salvageable or not...

    Avatar of Moe Cyclops Bishoujo
    09:59 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    It is if LOL means lack of lulz.

    Comment by Anonymous
    14:28 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    I do not see why people will be inclined to buy Square-Enix's stock for long term because their total unit sales more doubled over last year, but their profit margins continue to drop significantly.

    Comment by Anonymous
    15:04 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Notice all their troubles began when they started openly saying "We're trying to better please the western audience"

    Yeah... Guess why they buy stuff off of you Squeenix? To get that gaming sensation that comes from a different culture. Attempting to marry it with an incompatible belief of what the western culture and audience enjoys as opposed to focusing on making a quality product in general caused you what?

    Exactly.

    Avatar of Darkrockslizer
    Comment by Darkrockslizer
    17:58 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    @anon 14:28
    I never said that buying them for long term is a good choice. I just said that there will be people who WILL do that.

    Some just look only at data and their probability formulas and never make any actual market research.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:18 10/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    What I'm trying to say is that FFXIV is most likely only one of Square-Enix's troubles. A good investor will overlook intermittent disasters. What about a potential corporate structural failure?

    Avatar of Dia
    Comment by Dia
    07:00 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    There is no long term for SE.

    Avatar of Crim
    Comment by Crim
    08:44 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Dont worry, Im sure they will merge with another RPG maker to save the company

    Bio Square Enix

    Comment by Anonymous
    09:26 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    You know...all they have to do is release FFVII again and all the fanboys will start coming back.

    Avatar of Risui
    Comment by Risui
    10:00 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Sorry, this is SE, listen to the fanboys is not part of their policy.

    Avatar of Misakite
    Comment by Misakite
    13:03 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    So they will make a... FFVIII remake then?

    I would like that.

    Comment by Anonymous
    15:01 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Final Fantasy 6 HD
    Final Fantasy 7 HD
    Crono Trigger 3D/Ressurection
    Legend of Dragoon 2
    Dissidia on the PS3.
    Parasite Eve 3.. oh wait... hmm...

    Any of the above could help solve their problems.

    That said. let them jump ship... Then buy stock before Parasite Eve 3 comes out and the stupid investors go "Huh, they're selling again. Guess it's safe".

    Then jump ship when it reaches it's next peak and let the fuckers crash downward, forcing them into making one of the above titles.

    Comment by Anonymous
    18:17 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Legend of Dragoon 2

    ^This

    Comment by Anonymous
    18:54 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    It'll be Square@Enix
    @ = Atlus.

    Comment by Anonymous
    17:14 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Long term gain? But the stock has been in decline since FF7 was released.

    Avatar of Azure Xuchilbara
    Comment by Azure Xuchilbara
    05:31 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.4)

    "All Hands prepare for ground evacuation!"

    "All hands abandon vessel!"

    "Get out! SQUARE-ENIX is breaking apart!"

    *only the logo remains as the giant Arms Fort--er, joint videogame company explodes into materia spheres and chocobo feathers*

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    05:56 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.4)

    Horsebird feathers. *fixed

    Avatar of Hazama
    Comment by Hazama
    07:03 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Chocopo feathers. *fixed

    Avatar of Megidola
    Comment by Megidola
    05:57 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Radio message: "Warning, large icebergs ahead"

    Yoichi Wada: "Don't worry, we're unsinkable!"

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    06:17 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Squeetanix? ^_^

    11:24 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    More like warning Shit Final Fantasy released.
    Yoichi Wada: "HOLY SH** hit the deck"

    Avatar of Gitami
    Comment by Gitami
    06:24 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Hair feathers.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:37 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Haha, nice AC4A reference right there.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:50 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.4)

    When the ship sinks, the rats are the first ones in fleeing ;<

    Comment by Anonymous
    08:50 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    You can have a lengthy discussion about that with the bottom of the ocean.

    Comment by Anonymous
    12:38 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Rats are pretty damn smart

    Comment by Anonymous
    07:40 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    they are unlikely to go down , but they will go though some serious shit . Plus you dont need to be a market annalist to realize shares would be highest before big product launch and lowest after it failed . Still share prices are not the doom of company as its more connected to speculation rather then actually raising capital for firms .

    Avatar of King Tiger
    Comment by King Tiger
    09:02 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    "everyone to the life boats women and lolis first!"

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    05:19 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    Does that mean if players drop to zero in some weeks Squeenix is done for?

    Comment by Anonymous

    Good riddance. They need to go bankrupt to finally see how much they're screwing themselves up.

    Avatar of HouseLife
    Comment by HouseLife
    05:52 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    Again, another retard... explain how failing entirely counts as a good lesson? If you want them to learn, hope that they learn and improve. If you want them to fail then... well you're a worthless addition to a conversation.

    Comment by Anonymous

    "Hope that they learn"? You have too much hope for humanity.

    Comment by Anonymous

    He's just a mindful idiot who thinks he knows everything.

    Avatar of Gitami
    Comment by Gitami
    06:32 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Employees will have to find another job preferably bringing their experience of a successful then nose-diving company, however they're likely to shut up to keep their new job. Or perhaps they'll start a new company.

    Some people don't know they're drunk until after their skull and car wraps around a steel pole.

    But they'll be a good lesson for others. If they're going to try something new like targeting the west and other new customers, don't spend a fortune on the experiments.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:45 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    Well, if they continue to fail at looking at the big picture, then whether we hope or not they're going crash and burn anyway. They just need to stop running after the cash dangling in front of their faces and see that they're running straight toward a cliff with sharp rocks on the bottom.

    Comment by Anonymous

    The only possible improvement right now is for someone else to buy their IPs. I say give the FF rights to Bioware and give Square/Enix's board a good lesson in how to run a game company. Not that I believe they will learn, but at least it would be fun watching them squirm.

    Avatar of King Tiger
    Comment by King Tiger
    11:02 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    personally i don't think the failures of one title will be enough for them to go under they'll survive this round and (hopefully) learn from this as a reference for future projects and besides IIRC enix does more than just video games...or have we forgotten that they also help develop/finance the FMA anime?

    Comment by Anonymous
    17:16 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    You learn after failures...usually.

    Comment by Anonymous

    When they believe they can keep on the way they do and increase the price on items in game if it screws up, yes.

    Yes they need to go bankrupt...

    Avatar of HouseLife
    Comment by HouseLife
    06:03 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    In this I'd partially agree, but I worked for a game company... the casual market thrives on micro transactions. I'm a gamer in the traditional 90's geek sense. Microtransactions to the casual gamer really are quite strange to us as gamers who have been doing this over 10 years, but they really do work.

    If you want the reality of it, it does go back to piracy. The MMO market, the microtransactions, the casual gaming on facebook, it really is birthed in large part due to the industry adapting to losing a good chunk of the profits to pirates.

    And don't use that foolish argument that a download doesn't mean it would have been a sale. The retarded companies say it would be a 1:1 ratio, but most smart companies still know that it could have been upwards of 1/4th or more of those people would have bought it eventually, even if the price decreased over time, there WOULD have been sales that would have helped considerably in making more expansive games the next time around.

    The industry stagnation can very easily be traced in large part to piracy due to fear of taking risks. So wanting one of the last remaining 'traditional' companies who was rebirthed by the very fact that they made a worthy game that sold well when they were in their death throws (Original FF) to fail is the mark of a truly thoughtless gamer.

    Avatar of Saunter
    Comment by Saunter
    05:42 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    This is going to be an Albertsons soon...
    What's Square-Enix again? Thought so.

    Comment by Anonymous
    05:59 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    "Does that mean if players drop to zero in some weeks Squeenix is done for?"

    are you implying this is not already the case?

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    06:18 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    They are still having conferences, so not yet.

    11:29 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    conferences about juicing the remaining players

    Avatar of Misha Uchiha
    Comment by Misha Uchiha

    I love how there is still a small percent of ppl "white-knighting" FFXIV saying it will be the best game ever in the future with lots of players... yet the reality is that this game might even break a giant like SE.

    Hi, we spent a billion yen on an MMO with less than 10 000 players online. And we are making it F2P... I love to see SE burn in hell for the tard they produced. Players do have power to say "no!". As this clearly demonstrates.

    Avatar of HouseLife
    Comment by HouseLife
    05:37 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    The only worthwhile thing you said is 'Players have the power to say no.' Do you really want a company that can produce such powerful work to fall? Seriously? Require that they learn from their mistakes, yes, but what the tumbling fuck do we gain from some of the most talented creators in the industry crumbling into dust?

    They've had one test in FFXIII, showing that while it wasn't catastrophic to intelligent people, it didn't fulfill the desire for an open atmosphere, and FF14 was obviously someone who wasn't in this for the games making decisions they should never have made. Trust me, the developers are incredible, but they usually only see as far as their computer monitor where they make beautiful stuff happen. It's the people with the overview who unfortunately are plucked from management placement where they really shouldn't be in a creative industry at all simply because they can delegate.

    Comment by Anonymous

    Square hasnt made a worthwhile product since the snes ...

    They need to die already so they can sell their IP to good developers.

    Comment by Anonymous
    05:46 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    >Implying Front Mission 3 isnt good

    how about you fuck off and die, you are the problem too

    Avatar of HouseLife
    Comment by HouseLife
    05:48 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.3)

    If you honestly think that, then you lack perspective to such a degree that I can't even fathom what you're thinking. You're obviously one of those people who played those games during your formative years and are completely devoid of understanding that nothing will ever, ever be as meaningful as what you played during those years.

    The games are superb to anyone who actually played them without listening to mindless chattel before even playing them and enjoyed them for what they were. Can they be better? Absolutely. Will I consider them utter failures because they didn't meet unreasonable expectations? No, only a moron would be that shallow.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:24 09/11/2010 # ! Drivel (-1.0)

    Yeah yeah, way to go douchebag. Stop spending your energy here and fap off.

    Avatar of HouseLife
    Comment by HouseLife
    07:16 09/11/2010 # ! Quality (+0.8)

    You're absolutely right... my apologies, I'll stop giving you any credit whatsoever. How idiotic of me for even thinking you deserved to be considered seriously. I've insulted you by considering you to be an intelligent human being.

    Comment by Anonymous
    08:11 09/11/2010 # ! Drivel (-0.8)

    D'oh! LOL

    11:31 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Kudos HouseLife

    Comment by Anonymous
    23:24 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Huh? People are....INTELLIGENT?!!!! Blasphemy!!

    Comment by Anonymous
    19:21 10/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    I'll admit I can find some level of entertainment value in most of their games over the years, but FFXIII and FFXIV seem completely devoid of any quality...

    They seem to be on a downward slop and this last two 'gems' has left me wondering if they have the capacity to learn any longer...

    Comment by Anonymous
    05:42 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Ditto. All the creative thinkers were probably moved away somewhere while the "yes-men who only stay for the salary" stayed behind.

    Avatar of Misha Uchiha
    Comment by Misha Uchiha
    07:05 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    They couldn't afford FFXIV to fail. It did. Stockholders know this. It shows.

    It has been many years since I actually enjoyed a SE game... I mean look at a game like Infinite Undiscovery. Thats right, they used a non-word in a title.

    Either the company produces smash hits and some moderate successes OR it won't survive. The gaming industry is "do or die". There is no more room for gambling in this high stakes game. FFXIV was a major gamble. Both players and SE lost, big time.

    Whos fault is it? Is it the players fault that it came out in such a piss poor condition even tho we wrote millions of posts, articles and bug reports during alpha and beta? We really tried, SE didn't listen at all and now they pay the price. I am overall happy with the massive failure.

    Comment by Anonymous
    08:01 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    When they invested this much into their sequential opus, they should NOT have tried to add so many new and strange ideas into it along with many questionable ideas. The reason why the game is failing is a combination of all the things that you are not supposed to put into an MMO as well as the fact that the game is still an obvious Beta. Of course no one want to play it, there was no effort to appeal to the consumers in making it.






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