How To Predict Square Enix’s Stock Price

square-enix-stock-vs-ff14-populations

Square Enix watchers have discovered a correlation between Square Enix’s plummeting stock price (almost at a 10 year low) and the player population of Final Fantasy XIV, also plummeting.

Unfortunately for investors looking to make a killing, predicting player numbers is scarcely any easier than predicting a company’s stock price, save in that Final Fantasy XIV’s case the numbers only look set to decrease further.


    Post Comment »
    136 Comments
    Sort by: Date | Score
    Avatar of ☆ БОSS ☆
    Comment by ☆ БОSS ☆
    05:18 09/11/2010 # ! Quality (+0.9)

    JUMP SHIP
    JUMP SHIP
    THIS BITCH IS GOING DOWN!

    Avatar of Darkrockslizer
    Comment by Darkrockslizer
    05:31 09/11/2010 # ! Quality (+0.8)

    Well if I had shorted them that would have been when FFXIV came out; after this becomes old news it will rise again a bit because an increased amount of people will be inclined to buy their stock for long term again.

    Avatar of Dia
    Comment by Dia
    07:00 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    There is no long term for SE.

    Comment by Anonymous
    09:26 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    You know...all they have to do is release FFVII again and all the fanboys will start coming back.

    Avatar of Crim
    Comment by Crim
    08:44 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Dont worry, Im sure they will merge with another RPG maker to save the company

    Bio Square Enix

    Avatar of Risui
    Comment by Risui
    10:00 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Sorry, this is SE, listen to the fanboys is not part of their policy.

    Avatar of Misakite
    Comment by Misakite
    13:03 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    So they will make a... FFVIII remake then?

    I would like that.

    Comment by Anonymous
    18:54 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    It'll be Square@Enix
    @ = Atlus.

    Comment by Anonymous
    15:01 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Final Fantasy 6 HD
    Final Fantasy 7 HD
    Crono Trigger 3D/Ressurection
    Legend of Dragoon 2
    Dissidia on the PS3.
    Parasite Eve 3.. oh wait... hmm...

    Any of the above could help solve their problems.

    That said. let them jump ship... Then buy stock before Parasite Eve 3 comes out and the stupid investors go "Huh, they're selling again. Guess it's safe".

    Then jump ship when it reaches it's next peak and let the fuckers crash downward, forcing them into making one of the above titles.

    Comment by Anonymous
    18:17 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Legend of Dragoon 2

    ^This

    Comment by Anonymous
    17:14 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Long term gain? But the stock has been in decline since FF7 was released.

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    06:16 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Depends if this debacle is salvageable or not...

    Avatar of Moe Cyclops Bishoujo
    09:59 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    It is if LOL means lack of lulz.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:18 10/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    What I'm trying to say is that FFXIV is most likely only one of Square-Enix's troubles. A good investor will overlook intermittent disasters. What about a potential corporate structural failure?

    Comment by Anonymous
    15:04 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Notice all their troubles began when they started openly saying "We're trying to better please the western audience"

    Yeah... Guess why they buy stuff off of you Squeenix? To get that gaming sensation that comes from a different culture. Attempting to marry it with an incompatible belief of what the western culture and audience enjoys as opposed to focusing on making a quality product in general caused you what?

    Exactly.

    Comment by Anonymous
    14:28 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    I do not see why people will be inclined to buy Square-Enix's stock for long term because their total unit sales more doubled over last year, but their profit margins continue to drop significantly.

    Avatar of Darkrockslizer
    Comment by Darkrockslizer
    17:58 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    @anon 14:28
    I never said that buying them for long term is a good choice. I just said that there will be people who WILL do that.

    Some just look only at data and their probability formulas and never make any actual market research.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:50 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.4)

    When the ship sinks, the rats are the first ones in fleeing ;<

    Comment by Anonymous
    12:38 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Rats are pretty damn smart

    Comment by Anonymous
    08:50 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    You can have a lengthy discussion about that with the bottom of the ocean.

    Avatar of Azure Xuchilbara
    Comment by Azure Xuchilbara
    05:31 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.4)

    "All Hands prepare for ground evacuation!"

    "All hands abandon vessel!"

    "Get out! SQUARE-ENIX is breaking apart!"

    *only the logo remains as the giant Arms Fort--er, joint videogame company explodes into materia spheres and chocobo feathers*

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    05:56 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.4)

    Horsebird feathers. *fixed

    Avatar of Hazama
    Comment by Hazama
    07:03 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Chocopo feathers. *fixed

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:37 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Haha, nice AC4A reference right there.

    Avatar of Megidola
    Comment by Megidola
    05:57 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Radio message: "Warning, large icebergs ahead"

    Yoichi Wada: "Don't worry, we're unsinkable!"

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    06:17 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Squeetanix? ^_^

    11:24 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    More like warning Shit Final Fantasy released.
    Yoichi Wada: "HOLY SH** hit the deck"

    Avatar of Gitami
    Comment by Gitami
    06:24 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Hair feathers.

    Avatar of King Tiger
    Comment by King Tiger
    09:02 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    "everyone to the life boats women and lolis first!"

    Comment by Anonymous
    07:40 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    they are unlikely to go down , but they will go though some serious shit . Plus you dont need to be a market annalist to realize shares would be highest before big product launch and lowest after it failed . Still share prices are not the doom of company as its more connected to speculation rather then actually raising capital for firms .

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    05:19 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    Does that mean if players drop to zero in some weeks Squeenix is done for?

    Comment by Anonymous
    05:59 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    "Does that mean if players drop to zero in some weeks Squeenix is done for?"

    are you implying this is not already the case?

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    06:18 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    They are still having conferences, so not yet.

    11:29 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    conferences about juicing the remaining players

    Avatar of Saunter
    Comment by Saunter
    05:42 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    This is going to be an Albertsons soon...
    What's Square-Enix again? Thought so.

    Comment by Anonymous

    Good riddance. They need to go bankrupt to finally see how much they're screwing themselves up.

    Avatar of HouseLife
    Comment by HouseLife
    05:52 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    Again, another retard... explain how failing entirely counts as a good lesson? If you want them to learn, hope that they learn and improve. If you want them to fail then... well you're a worthless addition to a conversation.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:45 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.6)

    Well, if they continue to fail at looking at the big picture, then whether we hope or not they're going crash and burn anyway. They just need to stop running after the cash dangling in front of their faces and see that they're running straight toward a cliff with sharp rocks on the bottom.

    Avatar of King Tiger
    Comment by King Tiger
    11:02 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    personally i don't think the failures of one title will be enough for them to go under they'll survive this round and (hopefully) learn from this as a reference for future projects and besides IIRC enix does more than just video games...or have we forgotten that they also help develop/finance the FMA anime?

    Comment by Anonymous
    17:16 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    You learn after failures...usually.

    Avatar of Gitami
    Comment by Gitami
    06:32 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    Employees will have to find another job preferably bringing their experience of a successful then nose-diving company, however they're likely to shut up to keep their new job. Or perhaps they'll start a new company.

    Some people don't know they're drunk until after their skull and car wraps around a steel pole.

    But they'll be a good lesson for others. If they're going to try something new like targeting the west and other new customers, don't spend a fortune on the experiments.

    Comment by Anonymous

    He's just a mindful idiot who thinks he knows everything.

    Comment by Anonymous

    The only possible improvement right now is for someone else to buy their IPs. I say give the FF rights to Bioware and give Square/Enix's board a good lesson in how to run a game company. Not that I believe they will learn, but at least it would be fun watching them squirm.

    Comment by Anonymous

    "Hope that they learn"? You have too much hope for humanity.

    Comment by Anonymous

    When they believe they can keep on the way they do and increase the price on items in game if it screws up, yes.

    Yes they need to go bankrupt...

    Avatar of HouseLife
    Comment by HouseLife
    06:03 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    In this I'd partially agree, but I worked for a game company... the casual market thrives on micro transactions. I'm a gamer in the traditional 90's geek sense. Microtransactions to the casual gamer really are quite strange to us as gamers who have been doing this over 10 years, but they really do work.

    If you want the reality of it, it does go back to piracy. The MMO market, the microtransactions, the casual gaming on facebook, it really is birthed in large part due to the industry adapting to losing a good chunk of the profits to pirates.

    And don't use that foolish argument that a download doesn't mean it would have been a sale. The retarded companies say it would be a 1:1 ratio, but most smart companies still know that it could have been upwards of 1/4th or more of those people would have bought it eventually, even if the price decreased over time, there WOULD have been sales that would have helped considerably in making more expansive games the next time around.

    The industry stagnation can very easily be traced in large part to piracy due to fear of taking risks. So wanting one of the last remaining 'traditional' companies who was rebirthed by the very fact that they made a worthy game that sold well when they were in their death throws (Original FF) to fail is the mark of a truly thoughtless gamer.

    Avatar of ImBZppl
    Comment by ImBZppl
    05:24 09/11/2010 # ! Good (+0.4)

    still doesn't show definitively whether its correlation or causation

    Avatar of Schrobby
    Comment by Schrobby
    05:35 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    It's easy, really.
    Squeenix fucks up FF XIV -> this fucks up the stocks.
    FF XIV dies -> Squeenix dies.

    Comment by Anonymous
    06:09 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (+0.2)

    Correlation is not causation.

    Avatar of oldtofu
    Comment by oldtofu
    13:20 09/11/2010 # ! Neutral (0)

    IMO someone should just buy out the company and restructure from the top. Remove the person who's wholly responsible for this fiasco and replace him with a more passionate and dedicated guy.

    It's will probably take some time for SE to recover but under new management and their old reputation, i'm sure they can produce a quality game in 3-4 years.






    Post Comment »

Popular

Recent News

Recent Galleries

Recent Comments