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	<title>Comments on: Lucky Star Macross Frontier Cosplay Figure Lottery</title>
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	<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/</link>
	<description>Anime, manga and games, observed from Japan</description>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-296025</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Sep 2009 11:21:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-296025</guid>
		<description>The only &quot;set&quot; that I have seen Banpresto advertising is the 100 box ¥80,000 deal.  You get a case of 100 boxes and you&#039;re assured of getting 4 of each main character, 16 of the next category (some weird Kogami Akira thing and that yawning/sleeping cat from Lucky Star), 20 of the customized mini-valykyries (5 of each), and 48 of the additional girls in nyan-nyan waitress cosplay.

The individual boxes are selling for ¥800 a pop here at local stores, so you&#039;re not getting any kind of discount other than the fact that you&#039;ll be sure to get a set amount of everything.  I guess one could in theory try to sell back the extras or something to a shop or on ebay, but I doubt you&#039;d make all your money back.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The only "set" that I have seen Banpresto advertising is the 100 box ¥80,000 deal.  You get a case of 100 boxes and you're assured of getting 4 of each main character, 16 of the next category (some weird Kogami Akira thing and that yawning/sleeping cat from Lucky Star), 20 of the customized mini-valykyries (5 of each), and 48 of the additional girls in nyan-nyan waitress cosplay.</p>
<p>The individual boxes are selling for ¥800 a pop here at local stores, so you're not getting any kind of discount other than the fact that you'll be sure to get a set amount of everything.  I guess one could in theory try to sell back the extras or something to a shop or on ebay, but I doubt you'd make all your money back.</p>
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		<title>By: Kinny Riddle</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189563</link>
		<dc:creator>Kinny Riddle</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 16:06:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189563</guid>
		<description>Miyuki-Sheryl - this really is a no brainer, as they both have the same voice. ^^

The other three are also great matches, with Konata matching Alto&#039;s hair, Tsukasa matching Ranka&#039;s moeness, and Kagamin with Clan&#039;s ponytails.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Miyuki-Sheryl - this really is a no brainer, as they both have the same voice. ^^</p>
<p>The other three are also great matches, with Konata matching Alto's hair, Tsukasa matching Ranka's moeness, and Kagamin with Clan's ponytails.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Ren ichimoku</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189490</link>
		<dc:creator>Ren ichimoku</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:32:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189490</guid>
		<description>Oh yeah!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh yeah!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MaidNiac</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189441</link>
		<dc:creator>MaidNiac</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:00:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189441</guid>
		<description>!!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>!!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: King of Hentai Gods</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189169</link>
		<dc:creator>King of Hentai Gods</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 09:33:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189169</guid>
		<description>free = rubbish</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>free = rubbish</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189103</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 08:26:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189103</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s a trap! I mean a marketing trap!

You pay 150 $, and get nothing...

Can&#039;t they made some mass production instead?! That way every otakus is happy!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It's a trap! I mean a marketing trap!</p>
<p>You pay 150 $, and get nothing...</p>
<p>Can't they made some mass production instead?! That way every otakus is happy!</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189077</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 08:09:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189077</guid>
		<description>gtfo sancon =3</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>gtfo sancon =3</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Toiski</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189044</link>
		<dc:creator>Toiski</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 07:36:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189044</guid>
		<description>My calculations were done presuming a &quot;large number&quot; of lottery tickets: total tickets &gt;&gt; bought tickets. Then the probability of getting what you want looks like:
x= 1 - p^i where p is the probability of not getting what you want, and i is the number of attempts. Given p=96%=0.96 and i=15000$/500$=30, x is approximately 0.70, or 70%. The reverse solution is:
i = ln(1-x)/ln(p) with the same variables. Given a 95% certainty (x=0.95) and p as before, You get i = 73.385, meaning 74 tickets = 37,000 yen to get that 95% certainty. For 99.9% certainty, you&#039;d need to buy 170 tickets... but here the number of tickets is starting to grow so big that this method of calculation is no longer completely reliable.

If one were to look for a 100% chance, the calculation would look radically different. You&#039;d have to buy all of the tickets, minus how many of the thing you want they have, plus one. With less tickets, you&#039;d always have the chance of getting exactly everything except what you want.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My calculations were done presuming a "large number" of lottery tickets: total tickets &gt;&gt; bought tickets. Then the probability of getting what you want looks like:<br />
x= 1 - p^i where p is the probability of not getting what you want, and i is the number of attempts. Given p=96%=0.96 and i=15000$/500$=30, x is approximately 0.70, or 70%. The reverse solution is:<br />
i = ln(1-x)/ln(p) with the same variables. Given a 95% certainty (x=0.95) and p as before, You get i = 73.385, meaning 74 tickets = 37,000 yen to get that 95% certainty. For 99.9% certainty, you'd need to buy 170 tickets... but here the number of tickets is starting to grow so big that this method of calculation is no longer completely reliable.</p>
<p>If one were to look for a 100% chance, the calculation would look radically different. You'd have to buy all of the tickets, minus how many of the thing you want they have, plus one. With less tickets, you'd always have the chance of getting exactly everything except what you want.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Koto-Chan</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189035</link>
		<dc:creator>Koto-Chan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 07:23:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189035</guid>
		<description>Tsukasa Lee = win</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tsukasa Lee = win</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Sakiel</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189026</link>
		<dc:creator>Sakiel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 07:02:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189026</guid>
		<description>I guess you&#039;d have to buy all of them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I guess you'd have to buy all of them.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Deth</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-189000</link>
		<dc:creator>Deth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 06:26:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-189000</guid>
		<description>!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: ShibariComplex</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188977</link>
		<dc:creator>ShibariComplex</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 06:02:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188977</guid>
		<description>dragonball joke, nice</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dragonball joke, nice</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: metatron</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188958</link>
		<dc:creator>metatron</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 05:49:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188958</guid>
		<description>i lol&#039;d @ Miyuki cosplaying as Sheryl

seiyuu joke XD</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>i lol'd @ Miyuki cosplaying as Sheryl</p>
<p>seiyuu joke XD</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188881</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 04:48:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188881</guid>
		<description>i want them all

the tsukasa ranka lee is really cute</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>i want them all</p>
<p>the tsukasa ranka lee is really cute</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: (Girly Kenshiro)</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188848</link>
		<dc:creator>(Girly Kenshiro)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 04:23:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188848</guid>
		<description>Nobody cosplaying Lin Myn Mae?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nobody cosplaying Lin Myn Mae?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Uraisamu</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188827</link>
		<dc:creator>Uraisamu</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 04:05:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188827</guid>
		<description>Me too! shit I want the Kagami Klan figure &gt;_&lt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Me too! shit I want the Kagami Klan figure &gt;_&lt;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MaidNiac</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188772</link>
		<dc:creator>MaidNiac</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 03:24:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188772</guid>
		<description>Indeed, comrade.. And where the heck is my Hiyorin (&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;Miyuki)!?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Indeed, comrade.. And where the heck is my Hiyorin (&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;Miyuki)!?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188718</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 02:36:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188718</guid>
		<description>On the bottem it also shows Patty, Hiyori, Minimi, and Yutaka but no Misao and Ayano anywere. Sadly it seems no one gives a shit about them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On the bottem it also shows Patty, Hiyori, Minimi, and Yutaka but no Misao and Ayano anywere. Sadly it seems no one gives a shit about them.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188690</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 02:06:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188690</guid>
		<description>Probably they pair the characters with the most fitting hairstyle.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Probably they pair the characters with the most fitting hairstyle.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Yangth</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188661</link>
		<dc:creator>Yangth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 01:36:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188661</guid>
		<description>Tsukasa is so cute~ :3</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tsukasa is so cute~ :3</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188631</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 00:50:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188631</guid>
		<description>No Misao.  Lame.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No Misao.  Lame.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Kinohara</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188629</link>
		<dc:creator>Kinohara</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 00:50:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188629</guid>
		<description>I thought it&#039;d be better if Kagamin was Alto and Konata was Klan?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I thought it'd be better if Kagamin was Alto and Konata was Klan?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188587</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2009 22:45:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188587</guid>
		<description>Miyuki + Sheryl = Same Saiyuu FTW!!
Kagami + Klanx2 = Pure win...

Don&#039;t care really about the others, but I&#039;d like to get them eventually!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Miyuki + Sheryl = Same Saiyuu FTW!!<br />
Kagami + Klanx2 = Pure win...</p>
<p>Don't care really about the others, but I'd like to get them eventually!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.sankakucomplex.com/2009/06/11/lucky-star-macross-frontier-cosplay-figure-lottery/#comment-188579</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2009 22:37:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sankakucomplex.com/?p=17162#comment-188579</guid>
		<description>what 9000?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>what 9000?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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