Touhou Takeover

Touhou Takeover

Recent findings indicate that at current rates of growth, Touhou related doujin circles could within several years cause Comiket to be rebranded Touhouket, and force the event to move to an even larger venue than the Big Sight; that is, if Reitaisai doesn’t overshadow or absorb the event entirely.

The data is unambiguous:

Touhou Takeover

Extracted from the event catalogue are the numbers of Touhou related circles:

コミケ番号 サークル数
65
(2003年:冬)
7
66
(2004年:夏)
50
67
(2004年:冬)
98
68
(2005年:夏)
229
69
(2005年:冬)
232
70
(2006年:夏)
366
71
(2006年:冬)
574
72
(2007年:夏)
558
73
(2007年:冬)
793
74
(2008年:夏)
885

An extrapolation of growth at current levels:

Touhou Takeover

Given that one hall only accommodates 1,500 circles, the danger of a Touhou induced event collapse is looming.

This of course rests on the continuation of the rapid growth in these circles, which some might reasonably argue should not be expected to continue indefinitely, else we would soon be expecting large areas of the planet given over entirely to Touhou doujin production, a prospect some might not find undesirable.

How long must we wait for the anime at this rate?

The source of this insightful analysis. See below also for a look at Reitaisai as well.

Further evidence (bracketed number is the number of participating Touhou circles):

時期 出来事
2003年8月 コミックマーケット64 (参加サークル数:0)
「東方妖々夢 ~ Perfect Cherry Blossom.」 頒布
2003年12月 コミックマーケット65 (参加サークル数:7)
「蓮台野夜行 ~ Ghostly Field Club」 頒布
2004年4月 第1回博麗神社例大祭 (参加サークル数:114)
2004年8月 コミックマーケット66 (参加サークル数:50)
「東方永夜抄 ~ Imperishable Night.」 頒布
2004年12月 コミックマーケット67 (参加サークル数:98)
「東方萃夢想 ~ Immaterial and Missing Power.」 頒布
2005年5月 第2回博麗神社例大祭(参加サークル数:362)
2005年8月 コミックマーケット68 (参加サークル数:229)
「東方花映塚 ~ Phantasmagoria of Flower View.」 頒布
2005年9月 東方紅楼夢(参加サークル数:168)
2005年12月 コミックマーケット69 (参加サークル数:232)
「東方文花帖 ~ Shoot the Bullet.」 頒布
2006年5月 第3回博麗神社例大祭(参加サークル数:680)
「卯酉東海道 ~ Retrospective 53 minutes」 頒布
「幺樂団の歴史1 Akyu’s Untouched Score vol.1」 頒布
2006年8月 コミックマーケット70 (参加サークル数:366)
「大空魔術 ~ Magical Astronomy」 頒布
2006年11月 東方紅楼夢2 (参加サークル数:338)
2006年12月 コミックマーケット71 (参加サークル数:574)
「幺樂団の歴史2 Akyu’s Untouched Score vol.2」 頒布
「幺樂団の歴史3 Akyu’s Untouched Score vol.3」 頒布
2007年5月 第4回博麗神社例大祭 (参加サークル数:653)
2007年8月 コミックマーケット72 (参加サークル数:558)
「東方風神録 ~ Mountain of Faith.」 頒布
2007年11月 東方紅楼夢3 (参加サークル数:463)
2007年12月 コミックマーケット73 (参加サークル数:793)
「幺樂団の歴史4 Akyu’s Untouched Score vol.4」 頒布
「幺樂団の歴史5 Akyu’s Untouched Score vol.5」 頒布
「黄昏酒場 Uwabami Breakers」 頒布
2008年5月 第5回博麗神社例大祭 (参加サークル数:1,086)
「東方緋想天 ~ Scarlet Weather Rhapsody.」 頒布
2008年8月 コミックマーケット74 (参加サークル数:885)

Expansion at the behest of readers:

According to Hatena, 例大祭 / Reitaisai is already the largest single genre doujinshi event in Japan (and hence the world), and has gotten so large that they actually had to move it from one of the biggest buildings in Tokyo, Sunshine City in Ikebukuro, a huge department store, to none other than the Big Sight itself, where the last event was held. You can see the rapid progression in scale from this list:

No actual participant numbers seem forthcoming from the official site, however. At any rate, it seems plain that it is nearly on a comparable scale to Comiket itself. In fact, on a staff member’s blog, he talks about the vast numbers of people and circles attending, and seems to think further expansion is inevitable.

He also, whimsically, talks about filling the whole building…


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    11 Comments
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    Avatar of Jade
    Comment by Jade
    23:26 29/10/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    i seconded this!!!
    Touhou definitely surpass any mainstream series
    i have no doubt that there will be touhouket in next few years to come XD

    As long as ZUN continue making the game...
    i do not see the so called "bubble"
    will burst anytime soon

    Comment by Shiro
    20:18 25/01/2009 # ! Neutral (0)

    Become mainstream?

    Oh great. Just great.

    Comment by nervous-ified
    03:24 04/08/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    Given these statistics there's a funny feeling I have that the bubble will burst very, very soon. Do you think there already lie certain factors that aren't documented, which could lead to the Touhou bubble getting burst?

    Avatar of Artefact
    Comment by Artefact

    Their growth must be unsustainable in the long run, but they seem to have ample room for continued growth in the medium term: they should be able to expect to be picked up by anime and manga publishers at some point, which will knock them firmly into the mainstream. I am reminded of the Fate series...

    Undocumented factors? You intrigue me, did you have anything in mind?

    Comment by Shi
    08:59 07/08/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    i dont think the TH bubble will burst soon even if ZUN died i bet a LOT of fans will continue to churn out doujin games/music/art/manga

    i dont know how you define "mainstream" but i have yet to see a series that has inspired THAT amount of doujin circles to have it's own concert tribute (Flowering Night) and being nominated to JMAP to boot~!

    http://touhou.wikia.com/
    http://www.gensokyo.org/

    anyways just passing through

    Comment by Solamarle
    04:06 27/10/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    ZUN has said he doesn't think an official anime will happen, since he couldn't pull it off himself and he thinks getting a major studio involved would make the copyright issue too difficult to deal with. I doubt that "official" Touhou works will be more extensive than things like Bougetsushou, barring some huge change in ZUN's outlook on things. Besides, as it is, they've already done official comics with three of the prominent doujin artists; I suspect that comics will probably continue that way, but I don't see a major anime in the offing.

    Comment by math4origami
    14:49 03/08/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Touhou_Project
    It's a flying shoot'em up game with really popular female characters.

    Comment by BuggyBY
    00:00 03/08/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    Isn't there already Reitaisai to fill the Touhouket role?

    Avatar of albert_2mb
    Comment by albert_2mb
    01:20 03/08/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    yep, seconded. could you please elaborate on the Reitaisai connection with Comiket, Artefact?

    Avatar of Artefact
    Comment by Artefact
    01:47 03/08/2008 # ! Transparent

    I have expanded the article for you, though unfortunately the same level of data just isn't available as for CM, yet.

    Avatar of Piroko
    Comment by Piroko
    10:57 03/08/2008 # ! Neutral (0)

    I really don't know what this whole Touhou stuff is.
    I've seen it in the Kumikyoku Nico Nico Douga, and that's about it.



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